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    • What will the winter of 2018/19 bring us? The experts weigh in.

    BACKCOUNTRY NEWS AND FORUMS

    Welcome to your source for the latest news, conditions, and insights on backcountry skiing and adventuring. Explore reports, gear reviews, safety tips, and more to help you make the most of your time in the wild.

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    What will the winter of 2018/19 bring us? The experts weigh in.

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      2018-08-18 06:37:06

      What will the winter of 2018/19 bring us? The experts weigh in.

      The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration or NOAA is saying that there is 70% chance of El Niño conditions this winter, but this they say all depends heavily on the winds. For their full forecast and a whole lot of technical stuff read over here.

      winter weather predicitonswinter weather predicitons

      Just a refresher for those who get confused by El Niño and La Niña:
      El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is associated with a band of warm ocean water that develops in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific, including off the Pacific coast of South America.

      El Nino

      La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is associated with cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.

      La Nina

      So what does the Old Farmer’s Almanac have to say about the coming winter? Their predictions confirm the likelihood of an El Niño weather pattern. So what does this mean? We should see a warmer winter in the west with a colder winter out east and more precipitation down south. Not a great 

      With an 80% accuracy, the Old Farmer’s Almanac looks to know what they are talking about. Here's how they explain El Niño and La Niña.

      What are your thoughts and predictions? Chime in below in the comments.



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